LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

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LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come with announcement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams seem to take a top-four spot in the race more than to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs, into making bad decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college soccer. This includes the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Does the No. 5 shield keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and likewise win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in Burrows ability . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit they have played throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitions of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, even although its safe to say theyve yet to perform a QB of Burrows standard. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but still has a ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will also face a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB must enhance his consciousness in the pocket, then he has to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup. Auburns is arguably the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not mobile out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee in the game.
With the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
Will likely soon be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that permitted the least amount of downs this past year. It will be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game this season going yet. broke a tackle at the line on his way. Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky match.
It places ways too much stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere, When they dont get Perine or Dameon Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned admiration after a week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to install 45 or something close to this against a defense who is proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has fully evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the team has relied upon them far too much to alter the wave in matches, the Gators defense will wear out over time. Marco Wilson will be the subject from the physiological Chase or Jefferson to some late-game PIs.
But I dont expect this. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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