LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

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The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU moved to Texas and beat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take over a top-four place in the race into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making several decisions as he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school football. That includes the 45 they dumped on Texas on the street.
As underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in Together with the roar of all Death Valley awaiting. Would the No. 5 scoring shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling up and win the wager? Here is the full breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in Burrows ability . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, acquiring a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is a existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that will fill the place. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the toughest DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU competitions: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits in 33rd, even although its safe to say theyve yet to perform with a QB of the caliber of Burrow. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but nonetheless has a large ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even face a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami on the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their best pass-rusher coming in to this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup, Even though his consciousness must improve from the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is possibly the best in the nation, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should develop big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most often considered DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman team, if not more, in 2019.
Will likely soon be out of all returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, that allowed the smallest quantity of first downs last year. It will be given a chance against a pressured Trask though this group is now in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance is going to be as crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this season, going. Last weekend broke a tackle at the line on his approach. Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and thats including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
Should they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going regularly, it places ways too much stress on Trask in a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world following week. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport staying most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to put up 45 or something close to this. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the group has relied upon them much too much to change the tide in matches the Gators defense will probably wear out over time. Marco Wilson will be the subject against the physiological Chase or Jefferson to a late-game PIs.
However, I dont expect this. Keeping the match in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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